World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1089h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $6.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.