All-Timeline
0x45eb3e3378758cd8191ab8bd066239536bd42368
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$145.13
Total PnL
$-7.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
141 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.07
$0.07
- NO
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.06
$0.16
- NO
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on November 15?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
120 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
72 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?
9 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$141.01Jun 5, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$141.08Jun 2, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$140.05Jun 2, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$140.14May 31, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$140.01May 30, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$139.98May 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$139.05May 28, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?$139.14May 26, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?$139.01May 25, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$138.41May 25, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$138.02May 24, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?$138.14May 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?$134.20May 22, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$134.83May 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$126.22May 21, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$126.13May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$126.00May 19, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$125.50May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$125.02May 17, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.22May 16, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $107.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".