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BusinessMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Probability

61¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+3.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$3.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+13.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 61¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 854h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 35.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 853.9h

    LOW
  • 16:04Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 854h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:04Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (35.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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