Agonizing-Reasoning
0x45f63ae50c299796255431df119c41c9d2909f73
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$25.00
Total PnL
$-661.79
Realised
$-27.88
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- KINGS
Blues vs. Kings
25 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$25.00
$10.50
- SLOVAKIA
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
1000 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-41.98
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
708 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-54.50
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?
602 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-83.68
- YES
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?
174 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.40
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-82.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
85 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-36.15
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- CHIEFS
Chiefs vs. Cowboys
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBlues vs. Kings$14.50Apr 1, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$0.03Mar 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$0.74Mar 19, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Maple Leafs$10.00Mar 19, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$0.14Mar 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$0.80Mar 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$0.30Mar 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$2.42Mar 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5$12.80Mar 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Blues$11.60Mar 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Islanders$8.55Mar 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Bruins$11.78Mar 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Sabres$6.69Mar 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlues vs. Hurricanes$14.18Mar 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlames vs. Devils$6.49Mar 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Maple Leafs$5.19Mar 12, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Senators$10.00Mar 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$0.42Mar 12, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Senators (-1.5)$4.19Mar 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Senators: O/U 5.5$12.80Mar 11, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.