SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?

Probability

9¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$796.06

Liquidity

$22.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 9¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1564h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $22.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1564.3h

    LOW
  • 19:41Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1564h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 9¢.

Biggest hourly move: -8.5pp at 12:00 (to 9¢).

Show all 31 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 19:00 · -4.5pp → 10¢
  • 17:00 · -4.5pp → 10¢
  • 16:00 · -6.5pp → 9¢
  • 15:00 · -7.5pp → 9¢
  • 13:00 · -8.5pp → 9¢
  • 12:00 · -8.5pp → 9¢
  • 10:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
  • 09:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
  • 08:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
  • 06:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
  • 05:00 · -6.5pp → 10¢
  • 03:00 · -4.5pp → 12¢
  • 00:00 · -4.0pp → 13¢
  • 22:00 · -4.0pp → 13¢
  • 20:00 · -4.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -5.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -5.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -4.5pp → 12¢
  • 1d ago · -5.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -4.5pp → 12¢
  • 1d ago · -4.5pp → 12¢
  • 2d ago · -4.5pp → 12¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -5.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 17¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNHL: Western Conference Champion
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Western Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Western Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.” If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
to the team that wins the Western Conference during the 2025-26 NHL PlayoffsAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket