Vigilant-Parrot
0x4612d9f2720a6f4787704ac0d89764e05105d79b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-782.51
Realised
$-200.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
2489 shares @ 26.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$833.90
$183.90
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1816 shares @ 28.1¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$416.76
$-93.24
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
510 shares @ 49.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$293.37
$43.37
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1691 shares @ 11.8¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$249.46
$49.46
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.30
$9.30
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$112.98
$12.98
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
136 shares @ 73.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$106.58
$6.58
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$97.37
$-2.63
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$93.83
$-6.17
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.03
$-8.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$82.57Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$291.62Jun 11, 17:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$15.53Jun 9, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$20.00Jun 9, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00Jun 9, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?$121.06Jun 8, 18:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$303.65Jun 3, 16:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $155.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.