Utilized-Discovery
0x46185f7cef2455f4134818f36ab3edea0b71f25e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$507.61
Total PnL
$78.35
Realised
$52.11
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
180 shares @ 90.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$172.71
$9.51
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 84.9¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.00
$4.13
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
66 shares @ 62.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Sep 11, 2026$43.26
$1.91
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 85.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$37.32
$3.17
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$19.70
$0.10
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
20 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$18.56
$0.27
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
19 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.52
$0.79
- NO
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.80
$-0.20
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.35
$2.85
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
19 shares @ 39.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.70
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$3.19Jul 30, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1.21Jul 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?$13.00Jul 30, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Putin by September 30?$8.50Jul 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Putin by September 30?$8.50Jul 30, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$1.58Jul 30, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$0.10Jul 30, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.25Jul 30, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 30, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.21Jul 30, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$2.85Jul 30, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 30, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$4.10Jul 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.96Jul 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$3.65Jul 30, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$1.76Jul 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$0.54Jul 30, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$2.70Jul 30, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$1.75Jul 30, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 30, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.