Scientific-Chair
0x461ee42167f246504e5057264658b562dd4dec51
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$400.27
Total PnL
$-12.10
Realised
$-7.84
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
35 shares @ 85.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.16
$-0.84
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
29 shares @ 85.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.83
$0.83
- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.50
$0.60
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
29 shares @ 86.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$24.19
$-0.81
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.58
$3.58
- NO
Another Elon baby by June 30?
25 shares @ 87.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.75
$0.46
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
22 shares @ 90.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$21.37
$1.37
- NO
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.69
$-0.31
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
19 shares @ 77.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$16.17
$1.33
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 93.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.39
$0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5.001h ago
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$6.041h ago
- TRADESELLBlue wave in 2026?$10.581h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Riasne by May 31?$0.082h ago
- YIELD$0.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$3.0214h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$5.0414h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$8.4414h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$7.0514h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$6.1514h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$8.0914h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.0515h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.1415h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$5.1815h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$5.1715h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$26.9318h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.5623h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.211d ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.221d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
