0x462b3c81b61fab4be9ec9fb2f7b2d08995598feb
0x462b3c81b61fab4be9ec9fb2f7b2d08995598feb
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$1.13
Total PnL
$-134.80
Realised
$4.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
46 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-14.79
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-4.91
- YES
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on January 24?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on January 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
314 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$13.88Apr 25, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$9.60Mar 29, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$1.10Mar 15, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLKristi Noem impeached in 2026?$1.12Mar 6, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$1.00Feb 8, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?$2.00Feb 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$2.00Feb 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$3.00Feb 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar win 2 Grammys?$1.00Feb 1, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$2.00Feb 1, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Feb 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "30 for 30 - SZA featuring Kendrick Lamar" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Feb 1, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$8.50Feb 1, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?$1.00Feb 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$4.00Feb 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$4.52Feb 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$5.00Feb 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$1.00Feb 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 1, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$1.00Feb 1, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.