Those-Vibrissae
0x46345b899d775adb3ec65ef616334cbc0815674e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.25
Total PnL
$-17.56
Realised
$-0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.93
$0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
55 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
17 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
16 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.16Jun 4, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.02Jun 4, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.01May 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.02May 19, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00May 13, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00May 13, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00May 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.33May 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.67May 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.19May 13, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00May 13, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00May 13, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$6.76May 13, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00May 13, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.86May 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$5.09May 13, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$2.02May 13, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.04May 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$2.00May 13, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.96May 13, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.