Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Probability
18¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$1.19
Liquidity
$5.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 18¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $5.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6012.8h
- 16:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Monero (XMRUSDT) between Jan 5, 2026, 17:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XMRUSDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/xmrusdt with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance XMRUSDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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