Firsthand-Contribution
0x463755a9b7fc46099f02a063361de3e20507fd78
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-1.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
5327 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-116.54
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 16?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
4610 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-69.17
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?
3500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
2361 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-98.99
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
2035 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-349.90
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
1895 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
1649 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
1499 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-37.19
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
1357 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?$40.00Apr 6, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$41.35Apr 6, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$41.00Apr 4, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$41.22Apr 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$42.00Apr 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$30.42Mar 23, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$30.00Mar 23, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$30.00Mar 11, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$12.60Feb 24, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$5.50Feb 21, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$5.50Feb 21, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$8.98Feb 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$16.01Feb 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$1.29Feb 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?$2.46Feb 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$0.27Feb 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?$2.93Feb 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?$0.36Feb 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$2.70Feb 18, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".