Recent-Satisfaction
0x46477b873ef009df06d4d7ec67b92125e6d323ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$42.86
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-41.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
296 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.86
$-4.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?
1056 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?
864 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?
602 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
360 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-60.28
- YES
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
333 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.75
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$21.24Mar 20, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$21.25Mar 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$68.54Mar 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$68.54Mar 17, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?$0.00Mar 16, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?$0.00Mar 16, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?$0.00Mar 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?$9.75Mar 8, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.74Mar 8, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?$18.94Mar 3, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$18.95Mar 3, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$32.78Mar 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$20.00Mar 3, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$52.78Mar 3, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$60.28Mar 2, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?$30.00Mar 1, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?$30.00Mar 1, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?$15.00Mar 1, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by March 14?$10.00Feb 28, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $48.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".