Popular-Bat
0x46603630a5742c4ecf25465304317ba94c67cda2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-579.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Hillary's remarks not air?
385 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance say "Trump" during the March for Life?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
130 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.30
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Fraud" in Wisconsin on Thursday?
83 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Prescription Drug" in Wisconsin on Thursday?
79 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will "Alien" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
74 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Depreciation" during WEF Address on January 21?
71 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance say "Biden Administration" 4+ times in Ohio on Thursday?
58 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?$8.13May 5, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "China" in Des Moines?$10.23May 5, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Family" in Des Moines?$5.17May 5, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?$5.19May 5, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Rutte say "GDP" during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?$28.30Apr 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Rutte say "Ally" or "Allied" or "Alliance" during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?$20.00Apr 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Rutte say "GDP" during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?$18.00Apr 16, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$38.10Apr 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$24.00Apr 13, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mental Institution" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$24.17Apr 7, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Favored Nation" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$20.00Mar 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mental Institution" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$10.00Mar 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$15.00Mar 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$10.00Mar 25, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$55.39Mar 25, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$35.00Mar 16, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$14.01Mar 4, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$20.90Mar 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$14.00Mar 3, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$10.00Mar 3, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".