Optimistic-Dilapidation
0x4664b45d2749fb9605448a84cc0014e007ed8be1
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$24.83
Total PnL
$-287.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
261 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.83
$-19.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
3989 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.90
- JIRÍ PROCHÁZKA
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
197 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.95
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
81 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
79 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
68 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
51 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
41 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
39 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 6?$0.00Apr 16, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 6?$0.00Apr 16, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$18.79Apr 14, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$18.79Apr 14, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$102.00Apr 10, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$5.08Apr 8, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?$5.00Apr 8, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$7.00Apr 8, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$22.19Apr 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$19.89Apr 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$20.01Apr 8, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $16.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 04:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.