Limp-Talent
0x466fa4b171c852e43f7cd0bbf3823ef8218ed01e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$45.63
Total PnL
$-11.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.37
$5.37
- NO
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?
13 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
3 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?$21.39Jul 1, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-23?$0.00Jun 24, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?$1.03Jun 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$37.18Jun 23, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-22?$38.46Jun 23, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$35.09Jun 22, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$13.16Jun 7, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 7, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$10.12May 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 10, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 13, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.40Mar 13, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public by March 1?$15.82Mar 1, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by March 1?$15.00Feb 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?$3.77Feb 19, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$73.47Feb 14, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.74Feb 14, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $14.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.