Livid-Sweater-Kitchen
0x46864cf648abd1267000ef3aa4aea0fa3d19da26
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$67.21
Total PnL
$-41.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.13
$3.13
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
239 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.40
$-0.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
179 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
157 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
140 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
136 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
127 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 22, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$10.00May 22, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.34May 22, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.46May 22, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.33May 22, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.32May 22, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.34May 22, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$105.00May 22, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.33May 22, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.00May 22, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.34May 22, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.32May 22, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.33May 22, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.33May 22, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $8.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 23:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".