OtherExpires May 31, 2026

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Probability

16¢

+0.0pp

24h

-5.5pp

24h Vol

$11.1K

Liquidity

$34.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-13.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:00

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 863.0h
LOW
01:00Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 863h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
00:00Price
Probability down -13.5pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -13.5pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -13.5pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -13.5pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -17.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -18.5pp
to 13¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -18.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -14.0pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability down -12.0pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -10.5pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -12.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -11.5pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -9.5pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -8.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -8.5pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -10.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -11.5pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -12.0pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket