Nutritious-Pannier
0x468e2f06c5816d37087b50870d55c69d3656552e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$14.06
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.06
$-35.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1013 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
902 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
875 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 10?
801 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
741 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
672 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
350 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-94.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?
315 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$100.00Apr 19, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$20.00Apr 9, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$221.78Apr 9, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Apr 8, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?$0.00Apr 8, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?$0.00Apr 8, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$58.82Apr 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$59.70Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$100.00Apr 7, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$10.00Apr 6, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?$10.00Apr 6, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$10.00Apr 6, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 6, 11:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $30.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".