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GeopoliticsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Probability

0¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$18.0K

Liquidity

$81.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 02:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 118.9h

    LOW
  • 01:06Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 119h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

12
Same eventWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Category · Geopolitics

Market Description

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Alerts

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