Sugary-Peen
0x469c7f793fa34a154f2d378b2397daa9eb65309b
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$8.5K
Total PnL
$-339.51
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
70%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6246 shares @ 15.1¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$896.29
$-47.24
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
962 shares @ 87.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$870.79
$31.16
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4344 shares @ 15.9¢·now 15.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$656.00
$-36.34
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
595 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$482.20
$-23.54
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
938 shares @ 44.7¢·now 39.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$367.57
$-51.50
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
4845 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$363.39
$-90.80
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1817 shares @ 18.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$317.91
$-16.54
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1274 shares @ 22.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$299.34
$17.60
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1259 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$292.78
$-9.20
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
591 shares @ 46.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$292.65
$20.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.35Jun 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.33Jun 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.01Jun 13, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.18Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.95Jun 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$27.83Jun 13, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.01Jun 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.93Jun 13, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.34Jun 13, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.34Jun 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.37Jun 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.54Jun 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.97Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$3.13Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$5.95Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.84Jun 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$109.20Jun 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$0.17Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$24.50Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$19.44Jun 13, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.