Serpentine-Stimulation
0x46a4c45cd15d36037beef99f9a2883dd66f5bb86
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$2.03
Total PnL
$-273.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?
107 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.98
$0.05
- YES
Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
94 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.05
$-2.59
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $97k November 3-9?
256 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Solana dip to $120 December 1-7?
255 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 8?
254 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
253 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 2?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 24?
239 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 7?
235 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-18.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 5?
234 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 14?$2.06May 13, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$134.63May 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$0.19May 11, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$133.23May 11, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 4?$0.00May 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 28?$2.04Apr 27, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 29?$144.67Apr 19, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 16?$2.04Apr 16, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 14?$2.95Apr 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 11?$1.76Apr 12, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.70 and $2.80 on November 3?$0.00Apr 12, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 10?$0.00Mar 31, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 10?$0.00Mar 30, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 29?$142.50Mar 28, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 28?$2.65Mar 28, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 27?$154.71Mar 27, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 27?$149.45Mar 27, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 26?$1.29Mar 25, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$26.74Mar 21, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Netflix" or "Paramount / Warner" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)$66.28Mar 16, 22:54 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $36.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".