Round-Chrysalis
0x46b65e1c4abcdba920853db1bacdfd2cdd06ad23
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$51.06
Total PnL
$-45.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-19?
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$12.28
$7.37
- FRANCES TIAFOE
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$7.97
$3.03
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$7.85
$2.90
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 74.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.68
$1.68
- JOAO FONSECA
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$3.33
$-1.67
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
3 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.22
$0.22
- NO
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$3.00May 30, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.05May 30, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$5.01May 29, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$1.03May 29, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 29, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 29, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?$5.00Apr 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-19?$5.00Apr 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-11?$10.00Apr 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-12?$10.00Apr 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe$5.00Apr 3, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$10.00Apr 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$10.00Apr 2, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10.00Apr 2, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.09Apr 1, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.00Apr 1, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$5.00Mar 29, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-01?$5.00Mar 29, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 29, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.