Soupy-Removal
0x46c702fb8891210823334f8a1c6c29c5989fc0f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.68
Total PnL
$-605.84
Realised
$-90.72
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 37.6¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.52
$-1.49
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
329 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.15
$-287.77
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 33.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.67
$0.18
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.74
- YES
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
1397 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-74.44
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
101 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
37 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$288.92Feb 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$14.45Feb 5, 07:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.01Feb 3, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$4.30Feb 2, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$98.45Jan 20, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$47.00Jan 20, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Jan 19, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$87.53Jan 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$40.00Jan 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$20.00Jan 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$5.00Jan 19, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jan 16, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$7.50Jan 16, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael parliament dissolved in 2025?$1.28Jan 2, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declares another national emergency by December 31?$1.92Jan 2, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$31.84Dec 16, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$5.00Dec 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$1.00Dec 13, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$246.92Dec 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$145.43Dec 1, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 07:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".