Constant-Layer
0x46e29dcb9cd03b9f39bf5bf7759b07ea280ef8bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$23.6K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$410.64
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
6189 shares @ 94.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.1K
$256.12
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
6034 shares @ 88.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.2K
$-160.24
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
5050 shares @ 66.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$882.96
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3586 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.6K
$36.03
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.0K
$18.50
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1305 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.3K
$4.26
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?
1010 shares @ 97.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$953.44
$-26.25
- YES
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
320 shares @ 84.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$228.50
$-40.59
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
85 shares @ 89.7¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$49.07
$-26.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.30Jun 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$168.67Jun 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?$19.99Jun 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?$55.90Jun 16, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?$979.69Jun 16, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$4.2KJun 16, 02:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.03Jun 16, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$0.00Jun 16, 00:41 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.09Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.0KJun 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$209.99Jun 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$196.00Jun 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$118.68Jun 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$985.00Jun 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$996.00Jun 15, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?$131.77Jun 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?$137.32Jun 15, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast attend UFC Freedom 250?$399.99Jun 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$489.00Jun 15, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$65.62Jun 15, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $314.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.