Impossible-Ellipse
0x46eca8a1a9ad91018353599bcc40f9c1f9173ce8
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$207.18
Total PnL
$-80.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Natural Disaster in 2026?
64 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.92
$4.48
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
135 shares @ 55.1¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.94
$-26.46
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
29 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.74
$0.33
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
43 shares @ 39.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.73
$10.96
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
28 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.33
$1.69
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
23 shares @ 61.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.85
$4.48
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
140 shares @ 20.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$-22.75
- NO
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$3.41
$-2.53
- YES
Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
1584 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.84
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
763 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$5.12Mar 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?$5.94Mar 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$27.41Mar 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$16.77Mar 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$25.40Mar 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$7.28Mar 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$28.00Mar 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.01Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.