Unwieldy-Durian
0x47163e8f178a0a5fd60c8db6e947be5cad682ae7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Mexico US Senate Election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Vermont US Senate Election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Dakota US Senate Election?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New York US Senate Election?
124 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win West Virginia US Senate Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a Democrat win Tennessee US Senate Election?
111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Connecticut US Senate Election?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Minnesota US Senate Election?
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Missouri US Senate Election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-06-27?
77 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$220.34Jul 2, 09:22 UTC
- REWARD$0.74Jun 30, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Jun 30, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$220.56Jun 29, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$219.54Jun 29, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$219.79Jun 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-06-27?$8.47Jun 26, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$230.52Jun 26, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$230.78Jun 26, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$231.52Jun 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$231.78Jun 26, 16:21 UTC
- REWARD$1.81Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$112.00Jun 20, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$114.00Jun 20, 17:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$232.30Jun 18, 20:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$232.65Jun 17, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$232.52Jun 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$232.78Jun 15, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $140.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.