Disguised-Model
0x47281aac6aef7d165e386f0000e85b02fb8c5e6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$280.62
Total PnL
$0.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?
220 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$220.22
$0.22
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$220.02May 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.00May 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$10.00May 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.00May 21, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.00May 21, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$10.00May 21, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.01May 21, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$10.02May 21, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?$10.02May 21, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.03May 21, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$241.16May 21, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$240.71Apr 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?$10.00Apr 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$10.00Apr 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 15, 09:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Mar 19, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 3% and 6%?$0.24Mar 18, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 3% and 6%?$1.20Mar 18, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $39.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.