EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires Aug 31, 2026

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

Probability

35¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+1.2pp

24h Vol

$406.21

Liquidity

$2.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+9.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:49
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 35¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3054h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $2.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3054.2h

    LOW
  • 17:50Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3054h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.2pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.

Biggest hourly move: +16.3pp at 1d ago (to 29¢).

Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · +5.8pp → 35¢
  • 16:00 · +5.6pp → 34¢
  • 12:00 · +6.3pp → 35¢
  • 11:00 · +5.6pp → 35¢
  • 09:00 · +10.0pp → 35¢
  • 08:00 · +10.0pp → 35¢
  • 06:00 · +9.7pp → 34¢
  • 05:00 · +9.6pp → 34¢
  • 03:00 · +9.5pp → 34¢
  • 02:00 · +9.5pp → 34¢
  • 00:00 · +9.5pp → 34¢
  • 23:00 · +9.5pp → 34¢
  • 21:00 · +7.8pp → 33¢
  • 20:00 · +7.8pp → 33¢
  • 19:00 · +4.8pp → 33¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 32¢
  • 1d ago · +6.7pp → 32¢
  • 1d ago · +6.4pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · +3.8pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -8.6pp → 29¢
  • 1d ago · +16.3pp → 29¢
  • 2d ago · +5.6pp → 29¢
  • 2d ago · +12.4pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · +12.4pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · +13.9pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · +9.6pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · +8.4pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · +10.9pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · +13.6pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +13.3pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +7.3pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +6.9pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +3.3pp → 28¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

7
Same eventDrake 'Iceman' First Week Album Sales?

Market Description

Drake's new album 'Iceman' is expected to release in the summer of 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Drake's album 'Iceman', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Iceman' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Aug 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
to the debut week sales for Drake's album 'Iceman', according to Hits Daily DoubleAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
hitsdailydouble.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

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