Skeletal-Pardon
0x47349fe0b3449c544f514e283530ba0ef9f460b1
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$81.20
Realised
$16.17
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
564 shares @ 71.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$535.29
$131.55
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
375 shares @ 78.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$302.26
$8.46
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
132 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$122.64
$-2.64
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
405 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.51
$-4.05
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
1056 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.86
$-16.15
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 12.1¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.30
$-1.90
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
26 shares @ 84.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$21.94
$-0.16
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.50
$0.20
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 9.3¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.28
$-1.22
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
43 shares @ 33.7¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.58
$-1.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$4.0817h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$10.5419h ago
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?$5.8519h ago
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?$119.6719h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$4.3221h ago
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$0.0023h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$9.411d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$8.751d ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.451d ago
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$262.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$144.722d ago
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$17.352d ago
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$10.872d ago
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$78.172d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$195.662d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$146.762d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$19.833d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $40.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
