Variable-Past
0x473e811cae9c068182011946e1670d7fb99dcfe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12963 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$667.59
$-32.39
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$606.25
$106.25
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$517.19
$17.19
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$512.50
$212.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3086 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$495.37
$-4.63
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22727 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$465.91
$-34.07
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41667 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$395.83
$-104.17
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11538 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$293.08
$-6.91
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3488 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$273.84
$-26.16
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$270.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.51Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.40Jun 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.82Jun 10, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.67Jun 10, 10:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$167.06Jun 8, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$154.47Jun 8, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.24Jun 8, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.23Jun 8, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$512.60Jun 8, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$512.57Jun 8, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.77Jun 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$719.87Jun 8, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.01Jun 8, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00Jun 8, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00Jun 8, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $355.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.