Cheerful-Cup
0x4748814a0d465e3e4b0569e89081bfc8ee38075f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$19.89
Total PnL
$1.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $54-$56 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.62
$0.02
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Meta (META) close at $660-$670 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.42
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.30
$0.01
- NO
Will Airbnb (ABNB) close at <$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.29
$0.09
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.23
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $54-$56 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.60Nov 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.30Nov 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $660-$670 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.40Nov 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at <$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.30Nov 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.30Nov 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?$0.00Nov 17, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?$0.00Nov 17, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET$0.00Nov 17, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?$0.00Nov 17, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$0.00Nov 17, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$0.00Nov 17, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?$1.03Nov 17, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Foods Holding (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.12Nov 17, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.69Nov 17, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.01Nov 17, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMOpen de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublik$2.70Nov 17, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?$3.54Nov 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Nov 5, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Nov 5, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $128.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.