Ordinary-Dusk-Consistency
0x474ad0c098627b0241631a545f782d904da0e53c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$95.01
Total PnL
$-28.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$30.00
$0.00
- YES
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.18
$6.18
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 14?
10 shares @ 48.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.30
$5.30
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 16?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.14
$1.14
- YES
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
203 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.15
$-4.85
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 16?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
9 shares @ 57.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.11
$-6.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$30.51Jun 14, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 16?$10.19Jun 14, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 16?$5.07Jun 14, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$38.46Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$5.12Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 14?$5.13Jun 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?$5.08Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14?$5.13Jun 13, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?$47.38Jun 12, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$5.24Jun 12, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill it rain in Boston on June 10?$5.26Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill it rain in Dallas on June 10?$2.13Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill it rain in Atlanta on June 10?$5.38Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$0.00Jun 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?$2.09Jun 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13?$2.08Jun 12, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$0.00Jun 11, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$20.48Jun 11, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Boston on June 10?$4.05Jun 10, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.