Small-Marmalade
0x476ac93b763cacfa95adbae9e5deb7e10bd060df
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$43.37
Total PnL
$-6.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$31.75
$11.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$11.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?$10.00Feb 25, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Feb 25, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$20.00Feb 25, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.01Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$5.13Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?$5.13Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.30Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$5.31Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.49Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Machado not shake hands?$5.68Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$6.10Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Rockets$6.41Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 16?$6.85Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on January 16?$6.94Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 16?$15.15Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Spurs$21.98Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$4.00Jan 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$5.00Jan 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.00Jan 16, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $8.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.