Suburban-Ecliptic
0x476c1e85d5798b6d6e28dea0b34306017eadce52
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$136.64
Win rate
52%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in July?
499 shares @ 78.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$366.49
$-25.00
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?
362 shares @ 85.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$347.91
$37.68
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026?
330 shares @ 85.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$317.09
$33.55
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?
305 shares @ 85.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$286.35
$24.73
- NO
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 53.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$264.76
$106.24
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
258 shares @ 81.5¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.22
$-1.40
- NO
Will Dogecoin reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
226 shares @ 68.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$208.66
$53.66
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?
205 shares @ 73.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$173.22
$23.32
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in July?
160 shares @ 49.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$158.32
$79.32
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
199 shares @ 70.3¢·now 76.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$152.66
$12.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.93Jul 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.20Jul 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$96.40Jul 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.43Jul 28, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.93Jul 28, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$5.44Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.92Jul 28, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.41Jul 28, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.22Jul 28, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.22Jul 28, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?$1.00Jul 28, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.14Jul 28, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.32Jul 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 in July?$55.20Jul 28, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?$10.60Jul 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of July 27 2026?$27.63Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?$5.05Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of July 27 2026?$5.67Jul 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?$42.59Jul 28, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?$18.29Jul 28, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $35.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.