Fair-Record
0x477a7d28ed844984088129207c0afcb2459e2d8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
159
Open notional
$7.4K
Total PnL
$-98.6K
Realised
$-3.9K
Win rate
69%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 159- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4070 shares @ 72.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.3K
$323.84
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$835.00
$135.00
- NO
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
1000 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$825.00
$85.00
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
976 shares @ 30.9¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$507.32
$205.29
- YES
Epstein client list released by June 30?
16730 shares @ 25.6¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$334.60
$-4.0K
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
244 shares @ 55.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.34
$66.75
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
952 shares @ 36.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.66
$-165.22
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$151.50
$-88.50
- NO
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
147 shares @ 57.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.79
$32.78
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1450 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$108.77
$-239.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$766.72Jun 11, 08:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$317.01Jun 10, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$359.38Jun 10, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$364.90Jun 10, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$181.50Jun 10, 21:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$2.88Jun 9, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$181.50Jun 9, 11:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$245.69Jun 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$244.71Jun 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$975.11Jun 8, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$976.00Jun 8, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$256.39Jun 8, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$253.46Jun 8, 15:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.34Jun 8, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $194.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.