Drafty-Knuckle
0x477afcf167898b18924296bb7fecfee3e66d08bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-77.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$-1.17
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-2.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on October 13?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi hug on Thursday?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?
178 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
176 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$1.55Jan 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$2.00Jan 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike another country first?$1.00Jan 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$3.00Jan 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$5.00Jan 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$3.00Jan 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 31, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 31, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? $0.00Dec 31, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? $19.42Dec 31, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 31, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 31, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 31, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 31, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?$2.00Dec 31, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$2.00Nov 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$2.00Nov 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".