Unimportant-Repeat
0x477ca7aef03354b6a9d1e444cd4a5cfcad0a9cba
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.39
Total PnL
$-128.46
Realised
$-38.60
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
24 shares @ 37.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.90
$-6.89
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
432 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.80
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?
204 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
174 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-19.82
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
158 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
100 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$2.06Jun 13, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 13, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$4.80Jun 13, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$5.12Jun 13, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$5.00Mar 17, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.01Feb 21, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.00Feb 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$11.20Feb 18, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$6.77Feb 12, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.78Feb 12, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$4.19Feb 6, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.10Feb 6, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$6.00Feb 4, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$2.22Jan 31, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.01Jan 31, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.96Jan 31, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.75Jan 31, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$3.65Jan 31, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 17:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.