0x47830092e2e8ae9b284a7388872285fc7f2c9860
0x47830092e2e8ae9b284a7388872285fc7f2c9860
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$16.47
Total PnL
$-2.50
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 29?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- NO
Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 30?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 30?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 30?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 30?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 29?$1.15Jul 29, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 29?$1.37Jul 29, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$1.69Jul 29, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 30?$1.01Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?$1.01Jul 29, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?$1.01Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 30?$1.01Jul 29, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?$1.02Jul 29, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30?$1.01Jul 29, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?$1.01Jul 29, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 30?$1.02Jul 29, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 29?$1.03Jul 29, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 30?$1.02Jul 29, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 28?$1.12Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 29?$1.01Jul 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 30?$1.01Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 28, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 28, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 27, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 23:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.