0x47830092e2e8ae9b284a7388872285fc7f2c9860
0x47830092e2e8ae9b284a7388872285fc7f2c9860
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$35.93
Total PnL
$-3.04
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?
3 shares @ 86.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.27
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14?
2 shares @ 85.5¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Brian Shortsleeve win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 87.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 13?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14?$1.01Jun 13, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15?$1.01Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14?$1.02Jun 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?$1.01Jun 13, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13?$1.15Jun 13, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14?$1.01Jun 13, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13?$1.20Jun 13, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13?$1.43Jun 13, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 13?$1.45Jun 13, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14?$1.02Jun 13, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13?$1.20Jun 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14?$1.01Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13?$1.27Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 14?$1.02Jun 13, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 13?$1.12Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?$1.00Jun 13, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13?$1.11Jun 13, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?$1.02Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.