Uncommon-Prompt
0x47858160a863cf050f71c73c5266879bccc288c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$9.65
Total PnL
$3.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?
4 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.95
$2.21
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.91
$1.72
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.44
$0.51
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 34.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.89
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00May 29, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$7.57May 29, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.93May 26, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.77May 26, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.19May 26, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 12, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Mar 12, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 in January?$0.00Mar 12, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$1.74Mar 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.23Feb 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$1.40Feb 24, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on January 23?$5.3KJan 24, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on January 23?$231.07Jan 23, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on January 23?$999.00Jan 23, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on January 23?$999.00Jan 23, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on January 23?$999.00Jan 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on January 23?$999.00Jan 23, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on January 23?$999.00Jan 23, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on January 23?$40.66Jan 23, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be less than $100 on January 20?$4.3KJan 20, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $321.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.