Concrete-Maintenance
0x478fc310f5eca61c8909d80ba0a96b855d66f016
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$23.59
Total PnL
$-3.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will BNB reach $1,000 in March?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$3.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.90
$0.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 23 minutes?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
1 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1,000 in March?$5.00Mar 2, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$1.00Jan 4, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 21, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.00Dec 9, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?$0.17Dec 9, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$0.86Dec 9, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.90Dec 9, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$0.95Dec 9, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$0.87Dec 9, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04Dec 9, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.07Dec 9, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.06Dec 9, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.76Dec 9, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 2, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 24, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Nov 19, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 14, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 12, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 11, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".