Buoyant-Safety
0x47a5fb698612671bbf14c86686f61ab8b9a19370
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$83.00
Total PnL
$0.74
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- RMD GAMING
LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In
29 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$29.00
$6.96
- NO
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$27.60
$8.00
- NO
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?
26 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$26.40
$7.66
- NO
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In$22.30Aug 11, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?$18.96Jul 23, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?$19.77Jul 3, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.22Jun 26, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?$12.02Jun 26, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMAvalanche vs. Wild$29.00Jun 26, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)$32.15Jun 26, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)$32.63May 25, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Wild$16.24May 11, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.95May 11, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$42.00May 11, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$9.01Apr 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?$12.00Apr 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$52.94Mar 25, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $30 March 9-15?$15.02Mar 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$28.00Mar 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$25.00Mar 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$9.00Mar 11, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$62.93Mar 11, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $30 March 9-15?$15.00Mar 11, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $46.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.