PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Oct 4, 2026

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$74.3K

Liquidity

$811.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:49
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $74.3k traded against $811.7k of visible liquidity (0.09× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3870h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3870.2h

    LOW
  • 17:49Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3870h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventBrazil Presidential Election
Category · Politics

Market Description

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Oct 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
dadosabertos.tse.jus.br
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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