Ornate-Halfsister
0x47fa9ea59f19b689b4d13ead23e14d73cb9895df
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
139
Open notional
$8.39
Total PnL
$-291.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
7 shares @ 26.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.44
$5.44
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,900 October 27-November 2?
10219 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-11.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.30 October 27-November 2?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 December 29-January 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 27-November 2?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 27-November 2?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 27, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 27, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 27, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 27, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?$1.00Jan 5, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 December 29-January 4?$1.00Jan 5, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in January?$1.00Jan 5, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,700 December 29-January 4?$2.00Jan 5, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 5, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Dec 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperunit backed by Paradigm in 2025?$1.84Dec 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.78Dec 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$5.09Dec 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$11.47Dec 11, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-02?$7.14Dec 3, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ceará SC win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 2, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EC Juventude win on 2025-12-03?$2.00Dec 2, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 2, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".