Valuable-Puma
0x480366abb23a63a7ea28a7a2eec7766621b45134
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$-936.89
Realised
$51.67
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2500 shares @ 39.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.6K
$612.50
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1644 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$38.64
- NO
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
725 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$670.82
$-10.88
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2500 shares @ 40.4¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$598.75
$-411.24
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 89.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$274.50
$6.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
229 shares @ 87.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$197.91
$-2.09
- NO
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
205 shares @ 95.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$191.99
$-4.01
- NO
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$188.30
$2.30
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1359 shares @ 10.7¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$169.23
$23.79
- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
305 shares @ 83.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$114.23
$-138.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.