Half-Mathematics
0x4807c5bfaf7780e4d032dd597057181b780671a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$23.67
Total PnL
$-6.63
Realised
$-1.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Atalanta finish first in UCL league phase?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.67
$0.02
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$47.45Sep 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$47.50Sep 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$49.04Sep 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$49.09Sep 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$46.16Sep 30, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$46.21Sep 30, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$48.84Sep 30, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$48.89Sep 30, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$45.62Sep 30, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$45.66Sep 30, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$48.03Sep 30, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$48.08Sep 30, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$51.69Sep 30, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$52.11Sep 30, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brest win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$40.13Sep 30, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brest win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$40.17Sep 30, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$51.74Sep 30, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$51.79Sep 30, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Walmart acquire TikTok?$4.81Sep 30, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart acquire TikTok?$4.92Sep 30, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $25.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".