Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.7pp
24h Vol
$180.97
Liquidity
$2.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $2.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5987.1h
- 12:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 11¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 10¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 10¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 10¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.1pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).