Satisfied-Kennel
0x484103417573c5359823fd8dc194c832f078e6c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$113.11
Total PnL
$-120.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?
113 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$113.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?
1542 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
1433 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?
1375 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?
710 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23?
673 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?
645 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
610 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23?
599 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
599 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?$113.00Jul 10, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of June 22 2026?$43.04Jul 10, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$70.07Jul 10, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$70.00Jun 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of June 22 2026?$43.00Jun 26, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$12.76Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$14.26Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$86.72Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$86.64May 31, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann$1.17May 31, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$87.81May 31, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$87.72May 30, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$12.75May 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$99.86May 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.03May 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$99.86May 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.03May 30, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?$14.73May 30, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of May 25 2026?$86.07May 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of May 25 2026?$85.91May 29, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $79.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.