Warped-Hypochondria
0x48476254a212ece9314928e8160a1242581ba7a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$134.50
Total PnL
$-216.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$70.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
577 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.13
$-0.86
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
938 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.72
$-3.28
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1786 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.61
$-13.39
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.25
$-1.75
- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?
3727 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
1349 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-52.36
- TÜRKIYE
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
60 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$9.18Jun 14, 03:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.03Jun 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$10.21Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$10.25Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$10.20Jun 13, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5)$45.45Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.12Jun 12, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$10.23Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$4.09Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.23Jun 12, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$6.13Jun 12, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.98Jun 12, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$25.00Jun 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$8.92Jun 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$10.18Jun 11, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 11, 01:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $12.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 23:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.