Annual-Vanity
0x4861f0d70463ca0fe0d48ab18bfbdf33049485d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.49
Total PnL
$-54.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?
217 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.49
$-0.76
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
87 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on March 11?
78 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 14?
77 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
72 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 11?
64 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?
59 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?
55 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on March 15?
51 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?
43 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$3.47May 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$123.08May 14, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$121.48May 13, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - March 28, 7AM ET$22.65May 13, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$1.58May 9, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$2.47May 8, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 7?$102.18May 7, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 7?$100.95May 7, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill DAX (DAX) hit 18450 (LOW) in March?$29.00May 7, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?$74.17Apr 27, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?$71.94Apr 26, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 29?$98.57Apr 26, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 26?$0.00Apr 18, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 21?$0.00Apr 10, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on January 21?$0.00Mar 31, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DAX (DAX) hit 18450 (LOW) in March?$26.25Mar 31, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?$0.00Mar 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 29?$0.15Mar 29, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 29?$96.55Mar 29, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 on March 27?$121.03Mar 29, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $40.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".